According to Gerhard Schroeder, it’s clearly Georgia:
The hostilities undoubtedly have their historic causes, as well, and the conflict has had several historic precursors. But the moment that triggered the current armed hostilities was the Georgian invasion of South Ossetia. This should not be glossed over.
Clearly it should not. To say that Georgia invaded South Ossetia is a bit like saying that the United States invaded Rhode Island or that Germany invaded Frankfurt. I blogged earlier today about the new “useful idiots” and their defense of evil in the world–picking on the Guardian columnist Seumas Milne as a perfect example. But in fairness to Schroeder, at least the former German Chancellor is being amply rewarded for his effort. How’s your Russian, Mr. Schroeder? Your explanation sounds like it came straight out of a Russian script . . .