Reid Wilson at Hotline reports:

A year into his tenure, a majority of Americans would already vote against Pres. Obama if the ’12 elections were held today, according to a new survey. The Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor poll shows 50% say they would probably or definitely vote for someone else. Fully 37% say they would definitely cast a ballot against Obama. Meanwhile, just 39% would vote to re-elect the pres. to a 2nd term, and only 23% say they definitely would do so.

Yikes. That’s a lot of buyer’s remorse. And the details of the poll are cause for further worry for the Democrats. Fifty-five percent, up from 42 percent last April, think we are on the wrong track. Obama’s approval is down to 47 percent. A plurality agree with the statement that Obama has “Run up a record federal deficit while failing to end the recession or slow the record pace of job losses.”

Perhaps all will be forgiven when unemployment drops to “normal” low single-digit levels. But that may be a long way off. In the meantime, Obama might want to consider whether the electorate really is amenable to his ultra-liberal agenda and hyper-partisan tone. He got elected posing as a moderate and bipartisan figure. If he governed that way, fewer voters might be anxious to replace him.