After Election Day, the Republican Senate may be the only thing standing between Democrats and a slew of liberal wish-list items. There’s some positive news for the GOP in Kentucky, Minnesota, and Georgia. Things looks decidedly less bright for Republicans in North Carolina and Oregon.

It may be that the divided government argument is gaining some traction — enough to save the strongest of the Senate Republican incumbents — but not quite enough to turn the tide against Barack Obama or save the Senate seats in the states where he is running very strongly ( North Carolina and Oregon, for example).

But if you believe fourteen percent of voters still haven’t made up their minds on the president, you might expect these Senate races to be even more unsettled.