In Pennsylvania, Hillary Clinton leads by over 15 points on average in recent polling. I am actually in Pennsylvania at the moment and can report that Obama’s radio ads are omnipresent and Clinton’s are not, and tthat there is a surprising lack of lawn signs, bumper stickers, and other indications of grassroots interest in both candidates.

So if an Obama win, or even a respectable finish, seems unlikely there, how do the other states look for him? Obama is ahead, but not by a lot, in North Carolina. And at least one poll has Clinton up big in West Virginia. The race will look quite different, post-Wright, if in mid-May Obama’s only win has been a narrow one in North Carolina, while Clinton has tallied wins in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and maybe Indiana (where a total of 258 delegates are at stake). Is it any wonder Obama is not anxious to allow a Michigan and/or Florida revote?