Abe, it’s hard to imagine Mitt Romney will get much from Nevada, because a) everybody else effectively ceded it to him six months ago; b) as it is a caucus state, participation numbers will be staggeringly low, like 4 or 5 percent of the possible turnout; and c) the state’s 10 percent Mormon population, which, according to Jim Geraghty, has turned out 94 percent for Romney. (Forget Mike Huckabee’s claim on evangelicals; a number like that suggests Romney is this year’s unqualified king of identity politics.) The interesting aspect of all this is that Nevada may take on a far greater degree of significance in the fall, because it went for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 and for George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004 by small margins, indicating its five electoral votes might be up for grabs in a close election. Given the nature of the electoral map and the probable loss to the GOP of Ohio — which it won in the past two races — the GOP cannot afford to lose even those five Nevada electors.