According to Real Clear Politics, five recent polls – Gallup, Fox News, PPP (D), CNN/Opinion Research, and Rasmussen Reports – show that the GOP advantage on the generic congressional vote is 6.4 percent, a new high. If this continues, it probably would, when combined with other political metrics (the intensity gap, the hemorrhage of support Obama has experienced among independents, the GOP’s dominance among voters on the issue, Obama’s approval/disapproval ratings on the economy, et cetera), translate into Democratic losses in the House that would more than wipe away their gains from the past two elections (55 seats).

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